Automated Rainfall-Runoff Forecasting System using K-DRUM and K-PPM |
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학술지명 VACI
저자 허영택,펠릭스,김현식
발표일 2014-11-06
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In the past, water-related disasters such as flood damage and drought were severe and frequently observed in South Korea. While recently, the occurrence probability of super typhoons in Korea is continuously increasing due to climate change. Therefore, 16 multi-purpose dams had been constructed and operated to mitigate the damages brought by water-related disasters, and also to obtain sufficient hydropower. Majority of the amount of annual precipitation is concentrated during the summer season, which includes several typhoons. Therefore, reservoir dam operations should be fortified especially during the summer season. For efficient dam operations, preventing the occurrence of flood damages and the reduction of dam discharge is achievable through the utilization of highly accurate rainfall-runoff models. In this study, an automated rainfall-runoff forecasting system was developed to provide inflow and water level information for supporting dam operators in decision making. The system is consisted of two models, K-PPM(K-water Precipitation Prediction Model) and K-DRUM(K-water Distributed rainfall Runoff Model), and a visualization system. The results from this study showed that forecasting capability of the system showed a remarkable agreement with the observed data. The system was verified through the use of Typhoon Tembin in year 2012. Furthermore, the accuracy of the forecasted inflow data is dependent on the precipitation data. |