Development of Integrated Management System for Evaluating Water Environment effect on Climate Change |
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학술지명 IAHR-APD
저자 강부식,신재기,김영도,노희진
발표일 2012-08-23
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The universal climate change by global warming has brought a huge change to water circulation of the earth. According to the technical report released by Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), water resource is highly correlated with and vulnerable to climate change, which has, and will have, broad-scale effects on ecosystems. Climate change causes average temperature increase globally, leading to more frequent droughts and heavy precipitations. Likewise, the amount of precipitation and the frequency of localized torrential downpour are reported to rise at home. Especially, water resources of water system are directly and indirectly associated with social, economic and natural systems, so goals and purposes and principles in developing and managing water resources, and water management environment become different, as they change. Also, systems to predict and analyze the possible impacts of climate change on water environment need to be built, since water resource projects, and water resource operation and management in water system influence, mutually. In this study, Andong Dam basin in the Nakdong River watershed was selected as a target area. The Andong Dam is an 83 m-high, 612 m-long rock fill dam. It was completed in 1976. The watershed area of the dam is 1,584 square kilometer and the total reservoir capacity is 1,284 million cubic kilometer. The discharge from the regulating dam is about 15~30 m³/s. Then, outflow and change in water quality by climate change were predicted after applying the preceding climate change scenarios to a basin model, SWAT, and a reliable integrated management system was constructed by connecting these results to a reservoir model, CE-QUAL-W2, and system's suitability was evaluated, according to the climate change scenarios. |